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400 lines
9.5 KiB
Markdown
400 lines
9.5 KiB
Markdown
---
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title: Week 1
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showthedate: false
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---
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## Replication
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The ultimate standard for strengthening scientific evidence is replication of finding and conducting studies with independent
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- Investigators
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- Data
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- Analytical Methods
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- Laboratories
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- Instruments
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Replication is particularly important in studies that can impact broad policy or regulatory decisions
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### What's wrong with replication?
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Some studies cannot be replicated
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- No time, opportunistic
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- No money
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- Unique
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*Reproducible Research:* Make analytic data and code available so that others may reproduce findings
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Reproducibility bridges the gap between replication which is awesome and doing nothing.
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## Why do we need reproducible research?
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New technologies increasing data collection throughput; data are more complex and extremely high dimensional
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Existing databases can be merged into new "megadatabases"
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Computing power is greatly increased, allowing more sophisticated analyses
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For every field "X" there is a field "Computational X"
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## Research Pipeline
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Measured Data -> Analytic Data -> Computational Results -> Figures/Tables/Numeric Summaries -> Articles -> Text
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Data/Metadata used to develop test should be made publically available
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The computer code and fully specified computational procedures used for development of the candidate omics-based test should be made sustainably available
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"Ideally, the computer code that is released will encompass all of the steps of computational analysis, including all data preprocessing steps. All aspects of the analysis needs to be transparently reported" -- IOM Report
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### What do we need for reproducible research?
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- Analytic data are available
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- Analytic code are available
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- Documentation of code and data
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- Standard means of distribution
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### Who is the audience for reproducible research?
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Authors:
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- Want to make their research reproducible
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- Want tools for reproducible research to make their lives easier (or at least not much harder)
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Readers:
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- Want to reproduce (and perhaps expand upon) interesting findings
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- Want tools for reproducible research to make their lives easier.
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### Challenges for reproducible research
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- Authors must undertake considerable effort to put data/results on the web (may not have resources like a web server)
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- Readers must download data/results individually and piece together which data go with which code sections, etc.
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- Readers may not have the same resources as authors
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- Few tools to help authors/readers
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### What happens in reality
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Authors:
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- Just put stuff on the web
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- (Infamous for disorganization) Journal supplementary materials
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- There are some central databases for various fields (e.g biology, ICPSR)
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Readers:
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- Just download the data and (try to) figure it out
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- Piece together the software and run it
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## Literate (Statistical) Programming
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An article is a stream of text and code
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Analysis code is divided into text and code "chunks"
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Each code chunk loads data and computes results
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Presentation code formats results (tables, figures, etc.)
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Article text explains what is going on
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Literate programs can be weaved to produce human-readable documents and tagled to produce machine-readable documents
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Literate programming is a general concept that requires
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1. A documentation language (human readable)
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2. A programming language (machine readable)
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Knitr is an R package that brings a variety of documentation languages such as Latex, Markdown, and HTML
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### Quick summary so far
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Reproducible research is important as a minimum standard, particularly for studies that are difficult to replicate
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Infrastructure is needed for creating and distributing reproducible document, beyond what is currently available
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There is a growing number of tools for creating reproducible documents
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**Golden Rule of Reproducibility: Script Everything**
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## Steps in a Data Analysis
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1. Define the question
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2. Define the ideal data set
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3. Determine what data you can access
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4. Obtain the data
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5. Clean the data
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6. Exploratory data analysis
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7. Statistical prediction/modeling
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8. Interpret results
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9. Challenge results
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10. Synthesize/write up results
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11. Create reproducible code
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"Ask yourselves, what problem have you solved, ever, that was worth solving, where you knew all of the given information in advance? Where you didn't have a surplus of information and have to filter it out, or you had insufficient information and have to go find some?" -- Dan Myer
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Defining a question is the kind of most powerful dimension reduction tool you can ever employ.
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### An Example for #1
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**Start with a general question**
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Can I automatically detect emails that are SPAM or not?
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**Make it concrete**
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Can I use quantitative characteristics of emails to classify them as SPAM?
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### Define the ideal data set
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The data set may depend on your goal
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- Descriptive goal -- a whole population
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- Exploratory goal -- a random sample with many variables measured
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- Inferential goal -- The right population, randomly sampled
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- Predictive goal -- a training and test data set from the same population
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- Causal goal -- data from a randomized study
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- Mechanistic goal -- data about all components of the system
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### Determine what data you can access
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Sometimes you can find data free on the web
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Other times you may need to buy the data
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Be sure to respect the terms of use
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If the data don't exist, you may need to generate it yourself.
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### Obtain the data
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Try to obtain the raw data
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Be sure to reference the source
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Polite emails go a long way
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If you load the data from an Internet source, record the URL and time accessed
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### Clean the data
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Raw data often needs to be processed
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If it is pre-processed, make sure you understand how
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Understand the source of the data (census, sample, convenience sample, etc)
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May need reformatting, subsampling -- record these steps
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**Determine if the data are good enough** -- If not, quit or change data
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### Exploratory Data Analysis
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Look at summaries of the data
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Check for missing data
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-> Why is there missing data?
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Look for outliers
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Create exploratory plots
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Perform exploratory analyses such as clustering
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If it's hard to see your plots since it's all bunched up, consider taking the log base 10 of an axis
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`plot(log10(trainSpan$capitalAve + 1) ~ trainSpam$type)`
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### Statistical prediction/modeling
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Should be informed by the results of your exploratory analysis
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Exact methods depend on the question of interest
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Transformations/processing should be accounted for when necessary
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Measures of uncertainty should be reported.
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### Interpret Results
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Use the appropriate language
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- Describes
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- Correlates with/associated with
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- Leads to/Causes
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- Predicts
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Gives an explanation
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Interpret Coefficients
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Interpret measures of uncertainty
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### Challenge Results
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Challenge all steps:
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- Question
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- Data Source
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- Processing
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- Analysis
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- Conclusions
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Challenge measures of uncertainty
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Challenge choices of terms to include in models
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Think of potential alternative analyses
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### Synthesize/Write-up Results
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Lead with the question
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Summarize the analyses into the story
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Don't include every analysis, include it
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- If it is needed for the story
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- If it is needed to address a challenge
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- Order analyses according to the story, rather than chronologically
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- Include "pretty" figures that contribute to the story
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### In the lecture example...
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Lead with the question
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Can I use quantitative characteristics of the emails to classify them as SPAM?
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Describe the approach
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Collected data from UCI -> created training/test sets
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Explored Relationships
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Choose logistic model on training set by cross validation
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Applied to test, 78% test set accuracy
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Interpret results
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Number of dollar signs seem reasonable, e.g. "Make more money with Viagra $ $ $ $"
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Challenge Results
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78% isn't that great
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Could use more variables
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Why use logistic regression?
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## Data Analysis Files
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Data
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- Raw Data
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- Processed Data
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Figures
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- Exploratory Figures
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- Final Figures
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R Code
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- Raw/Unused Scripts
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- Final Scripts
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- R Markdown Files
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Text
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- README files
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- Text of Analysis/Report
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### Raw Data
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Should be stored in the analysis folder
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If accessed from the web, include URL, description, and date accessed in README
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### Processed Data
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Processed data should be named so it is easy to see which script generated the data
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The processing script -- processed data mapping should occur in the README
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Processed data should be tidy
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### Exploratory Figures
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Figures made during the course of your analysis, not necessarily part of your final report
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They do not need to be "pretty"
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### Final Figures
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Usually a small subset of the original figures
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Axes/Colors set to make the figure clear
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Possibly multiple panels
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### Raw Scripts
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May be less commented (but comments help you!)
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May be multiple versions
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May include analyses that are later discarded
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### Final Scripts
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Clearly commented
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- Small comments liberally - what, when, why, how
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- Bigger commented blocks for whole sections
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Include processing details
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Only analyses that appear in the final write-up
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### R Markdown Files
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R Markdown files can be used to generate reproducible reports
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Text and R code are integrated
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Very easy to create in RStudio
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### Readme Files
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Not necessary if you use R Markdown
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Should contain step-by-step instructions for analysis
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### Text of the document
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It should contain a title, introduction (motivation), methods (statistics you used), results (including measures of uncertainty), and conclusions (including potential problems)
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It should tell a story
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It should not include every analysis you performed
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References should be included for statistical methods
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